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*These Studies are provided as is and are not intended to indicate a buy or sell recommendation of any kind. By purchasing any study or implementation session you understand and agree that the product or service provided is for the sole purpose of determining the volume weighted price levels for a given periodicity, and any action you take or any trades you make based on these identified levels are at your sole discretion. I am not a financial advisor, nor am I holding myself out to be. before acting on any trades ideas expressed or derived from this forum, information stated, or product, please consult the advice of your own personal financial advisor.
It's not me, REALLY It's the VWAP Saying This nonsense!
The bulls might just be taking control right at this minute!
VWAP can be defined as the Volume Weighted Average Price for a specific periodicity.
Understanding that VWAP represents price discovery supported by volume at that price, and with respect to the price in which the stock is currently trading at, provides a base or mean for which price action will gravitate back to in the absence of buying or selling pressure.
Or to put it another way.....
In the absence of buying or selling pressure, price action will always revert back to vwap for fair market value price discovery.
Further defined, VWAP exemplifies Fair Market Value and Price Discovery across a multitude of aggregated periods, and VWAPs primary function is to declare BULLISH or BEARISH sentimate.
VWAP answers a very important question; are buyers willing to pay at or above fair market value for this asset?
if the answer is yes, you will see the price rise as demand increases, and supply at the current price will deminish, indicating buying pressure to the upside.
If the answer is no, price action will fall to the last known area of volume weighted average price support where buyers were willing to accumulate at that price, and once again the same question is asked, and if there are no buyers, the process will continue until the market finds its newly derived fair market value price discovery, and over time the VWAP will come to reflect this recently minted information, by the indicators change in inclination.
Volume Weighted Average Price for a specific periodicity, is calculated using the following formula:
Σ (((H+L+C)/3)*V) / Σ (V)
Σ = CUMULATIVE: increasing by successive additions.
H = High: Highest price of the candle.
L = Low: Lowest price of the candle.
C = Close: Closeing price of the candle.
V = Volume: The number of shares traded on this candle.
Most trading platforms grab, or aggregate data, by what time frame has been selected to display, e.g., 1D1m, 5D5m, 1Y1D, 5Y1M etc. In the case of 1D1m, VWAP is calculated from the very first print or candle of the period selected, and continues to perform the calculation by adding the next candles values along with the volume data for that candle and redefining the result. This gives us the accumulative volume weighted moving average price or what fair market value over a given time period can be realized.
Unlike a simple moving average, which just calculates the average price over an encapsulated period of time, VWAP implies price discovery supported by the density of volume supporting the price cumulatively over time.
In the case of larger or longer aggregated time periods, the same calculations are performed begining from the first candle of the selected time frame. The same rules apply to daily, monthly, and yearly candles, where you may have 1Y worth of data expressed using daily candles. This calculates the the VWAP using daily candles to deturmine the VWAP over a yearly time frame.
The number one reason VWAP is so useful in trading is that it expresses what fair market value is. Institutions use vwap to declare where the market IS. Consider evaluating what the best price is for something your looking to aquire and trying to deturmine what its true value is. This is why using the terms Price Discovery and Fair Market Value provides context to what VWAP represents.
The volume component describes how much support a given price value has. It in a sense declares, here is the current best price evaluated and deturmined by the market. Institutions use this information to establish where the market is, and share this information with the algos they use to execute trades.
Algorithmically derived price action is clearly the best way to understand why price action becomes hyper reactive at specific levels and ranges. When applying VWAP price discovery to what seems like completely random price action chop can help make sense of whats happening with the current price action. Learning to recognise these responsive price zones can create an opportunity to follow how institutions are postured, and help eliminate the anxiety associated with excessive chop.
Now that we have explored how VWAP is derived, we can now explore how VWAP can be calculated over various specific timeframes outside of chart selected data sets. This leads us to discover what the volume weighted average price is over a very selective time frame. This is also known as ANCHORING VWAP, which defines VWAP over various selective timeframes, not only over set periods of chart selected data, but over selective periods of time and even nominal price action events relative to current and recent price moves.
Anchoring VWAP
In most cases anchoring or affixing vwap to specific price action events, allows us to realise what the ongoing fair market value is, based off of where we start our aggregation from. An example of this might be assigning our VWAP indicator to the highest high or lowest low print of the day. This would signify the ongoing price discovery from such an event and allow us to to visualize bullish or bearish sentiment from that most recent event. The same evaluation of sentiment could be obtained from a most recent high or low within what might be observed as a consolidation price range, in order to judge when sentimate is shifting.
Another use case for visualizing sentimate, could be to assign a VWAP signature to a most recent HIGH VOLUME EVENT, NEWS EVENT, EARNINGS REPORT, SPLIT, or even a DIVIDEND declaration. Each of these events express a change in the underlying assets valuation, and following the money, and more importantly following the VOLUME WEIGHTED SMART MONEY, can give you a superior edge to day trading, swing trading, and long term investing.
VWAP is also and excellent tool for managing your portfolio. By assigning VWAP to the date you entered a position, you can visualize whether or not SMART MONEY / THE MARKET believes in this asset. If since your entry, the price is trending above the VWAP price you can consider the investment as bullish, if on the other hand its trending below your entry VWAP level you may want to reconsider that position.
VWAP Your Portfolio
One of the most useful ways to manage your portfolio, is to understand the institutional sentiment of your holdings.
Smart money uses VWAP to determine the fair market value of stocks and whether they are over bought or over sold. There are a lot of contributing factors that go into price discovery, but at its core, volume supporting price, and the higher the density of volume supporting price over time can help you visualize the bullishness or bearishness institutions have for a giver equity.
VWAP defines this for you, when applied in a very specific and targeted way.
Targeted VWAP
Assigning VWAP to your entry point, or aggregating VWAP from the day you entered your position, will clearly define who is in control of the stock since your entry point; the Bulls or the Bears.
It is very hard to define, over an extended period of time, how subtle changes to a stocks metrics will impact its performance. For example, news driven events, analyst upgrades and downgrades, social sentiment, new product launches, and management changes, can all impact a stocks performance over the short term, and give you the impression a stock is going to react in a very definitive way, but the truth behind these potentially reactionary events can be realized simply by how a stock is postured or trending relative to its VWAP signature, post these reactionary events.
On The Fence
As discussed, VWAP represents fair market value price discovery, and in some circumstances, should not provoke an immediate reactionary response. From time to time, stocks need to re-test for support at VWAP to ensure that support is indeed intact.
Consider the auction process, and the following question. Are there buyers willing to pay at or above fair market value for this equity? If the answer is yes, price is driven back up due to accumulation and lack of supply at this price. If the answer is no, new price discovery is initiated by lowering the price until the buyers are willing to step in and bid the stock up, creating a new floor or supportive price. Over time, the absence of committed buying will be reflected in the VWAP signature, indicating where NEW fair market value can be observed.
Follow The Money
If you ever want to know the truth about anything, simply follow the money!
When it comes to discovering the truth about what is really impacting a stocks performance, VWAP acts as the judge, jury, and executioner. This simple yet overwhelmingly declarative evaluation of price action, answers in some cases, a very troubling question; should I remain commited to the idea, or should i cut my losses and move on?
IF, relative to your entry point, your stock is trending below VWAP, consider dumping it because you are witnessing a stock that no longer has buying pressure supporting price at or greater than fair market value. On the other hand, if your stock is continuing to trend above VWAP relative to your entry point, this signifies that buying pressure is in tact, or at least it is still trading at or above fair market value, and for now there is no reason to exit the position.
In the absence of buying or selling pressure, price action will always revert back to VWAP for fair market value price discovery, and it's at this point, we can quantify what institutions and smart money are financially declaring about their allegiance to this prospect, and from here, we simply follow the money.
Most trading platforms offer a standard VWAP indicator, usually found under what are known as STUDIES.
STUDIES are codes or scripts that compile price action data and draw an indication of that computation on charts. These predefined scripts can sometimes be modified by how the script is written and may offer the ability to change some values by the user selecting from dropdown menues or entering variable data to fine tune the desired output of the indicator.
Below are examples of the different types of indications that can be created using VWAP based on how VWAP is being aggregated and from where VWAP is being aggregated from.
Standard VWAP
The standard VWAP shown below in green is anchored to the first print of the selected session, and is used to realize where fair market value can be observed on an ongoing basis as it's re-calculated throughout the day. This is referred to as the INTRA-DAY VWAP.
Intra-Day VWAP allows us to visualize whether or not buying or selling pressure can be observed relative to where fair market value is, and defines who's in control of the stock at any give period throughout the day, The BULLS or The BEARS.
If we are considering a long position, we would want to see that there is buying pressure at or above fair market value, and like wise if we are short we don't want to remain committed to the short side if price action is trending above the vwap, indicating that the buyers are supporting elevated prices.
VWAP IS NOT a buy or sell indicator, but a tool used to deturmine whos in control of the stock, such that we can use it to help support our long or short thesis.
MULTI-DAY VWAP
The Multi-Day VWAP or Multiple Periodicity VWAP shown below in orange begins its aggregation from where the VWAP ended from the prior session and continues its aggregation incorporating all of the new price action and volume data of the current session. Resulting in a day over day observation of fair market value.
The following chart displays how a multitude of days can be aggregated to show where fair market value of a given larger period of time can be realized, in this case, five trading periods resulting in a five day recocnitions of price discovery or fair market value.
On this next chart we have aggregated a much larger period of time, in this case a years worth of price action data, and using daily candles to create a one year reconciliation of where fair market value can be observed.
The following chart now extends its aggregation out to a five year period resulting in a five year aggregation of price action resulting in an even larger evaluation of where fair market value can be observed.
ANCHORD VWAP
Anchoring VWAP or Time Stamping VWAP can be very useful for deturmining what the ongoing sentimate is for a given stock from a very specific HOT DATE or EVENT DATE. In this example we are going to anchor our vwap to a very specific date. Unlike generic periods of time such as one day, five days, one year, five years, etc., a HOT Date can become very telling with regards to what the new sentimate is and how the stock is performing relative to that event.
In the example below we are looking to understand whether or not there is buying or selling pressure relative to our nominated starting point. We will have aggregated the chart to reflect a starting point of October 19th 2023, the actual low within a one year period. Note that since that anchor point we did indeed have buying pressure to the upside, and a reversion to the VWAP to test for fair market value price discovery. Also to note is how the market responded to where it pulled back to and it would appear to show that from an ongoing stand point VWAP did indeed declare THIS IS where fair market value IS and this is where the buyers stepped in and began to re-accumulate the stock, after evaluating the following question. Are buyers willing to step in here at fair market value or not? in this case the answer was YES.
For this next example we are going to continue to use the same premise of a HOT DATE or EVENT DATE to re-calculate the chart to that pivot point where price action reverted down and tested the VWAP, essentually resetting the bar where the new price discovery can be observed. This new EVENT DATE was April 19th 2024, and in an ongoing manner defined where newly minted fairmarket value could be referenced.
This time price action reverted down to the VWAP and was presented with the same question we asked before. Now that we are back to fair market value are buyers willing to step in and aquire at or above this newly derived fair market value price discovery level? The apparent answer is NO they were not commited to this price discovery level and they look to find better value at a lower level, potentially back down to the prior vwap indication from when it was anchored to the October low.
A very important thing to consider here is what price action did when it reverted back to vwap and bounced off of it initially, before following through. You will come to understand that this was a profit taking event, where the shorts decided to cover, which is essentually buying the stock back, but notice even though there was buying it was not met with real buying pressure causing the price to considerably move back up due to an absence of inventory. It can be seen clearly that this is just an absence of buyers willing to step in and bid the stock higher resulting in a continued lower search for price discovery at a lower yet to be deturmined fair market value price.
We have now looked at a few examples of how anchoring to prior pivot points or HOT DATES can suggest where support can be observed, now we can look at how resistence can also be defined by anchoring our VWAP to the highest pivot point of the chart, in order to recognise where recovery to the upside can be realized. But just as importantly we can use this pivot point to signify where our stop can be defined if we were short from a topping formation.
To define this further, we are considering what fair market value is relative to the high, and our VWAP signature defines for us where that price discovery level is, and potentially use this levels as a trailing stop. From this stand point the question remains the same, are there buyers at or above fair market value relative to this HOT DATE?
In this example we could conclude the answer to be NO. With that in mind you can ask another question... Do I want to remain short if price action begins to trend back above VWAP? Smart Money would and should offer a resounding HELL NO!
EVENT TARGETED VWAP
Event targeted VWAP is an anchoring process where you set your aggregation date to that event specific date. In the case below we have anchored the VWAP to the date of the last earnings report, and in doing so we can see what smart money has concluded about their continued support for this stock since the last earnings period, and where their committment waned.
This methodology could also be employed to realize institutional sentimate relative to your portfolio holdings in order to reveal whether or not price support is intact since your entry. This can be achieved by deturmining the date you entered your position and monitor the price action posture relative to the VWAP indiction from that entry date. From this perspective it can be very clear and easy to conclude how to manage you position.
To further exeplify this strategy, the following chart is anchored to the most recent earnings report, and shows us SINCE this most recent event, in this case and earnings report, this is what smart money believes about this ongoing concern, and where there might be a possible and reasonable price in which to consider stepping in to a long position. OR, if you have been short sice the most recent earnings report (or HOT DATE), the VWAP signature relative to that reporting date will let you know that you may have over extended your welcome to the short side.
ADVANCED VWAP
Up until this point we have discussed VWAP from an inclusive intra-day perspective and on a more MACRO daily level perspective, showcasing what could be considered as the big picture in terms of identifying the bullish or bearish sentimate of a given day, a multitude of days, and even from one event to the next, but VWAP is also capable of defining much smaller and highly specific targeted time frames and all the way down to the VWAP signature of each candle.
Lets begin with understanding that vwap is an aggregation of price action and volume data over a specific period of time. The calculation of VWAP does not change, just the amount of data to be calculated.
As we have come to the understanding that VWAP represents price discovery and fair market value over time, the below chart showcases the HOURLY VWAP in BLUE.
The HOURLY VWAP is an aggregation of price action from hour to hour, NOT where vwap was an hour ago. In the same way that the Multiday derives its indication on a day over day basis, the hourly derives its signature on an hour to hour aggregation giving us a faster read of price discovery which can help us declare when shifts in sentimate in the near term occour.
The hourly can help us define when tops and bottoms are forming by signaling that over this shorter time frame sentimate has begun to shift. Once again VWAP is not a buy or sell indicator, but more of a declaration of sentimate, and in the case of the hourly vwap we are trying to isolate the potential of a VWAP reversion by first declaring that sentimate has shifted from selling pressure to buying pressure, which can in the short term exemplify that current price action that was once just profit taking from the short sellers has indeed switch to actual buying pressure. This subtle difference is where the hourly shines.
The hourly gives us a heads up that a bottom could be forming by whitnessing price action begin to break above the hourly VWAP and set the bar for defining a future range to break. Once we see the onset of price action maintaining a baseline, and starting to ping the hourly, we can start to look for the key signatures that define a true bottom and that is when you maintain a closing posture above the hourly and also begin to break resistance ranges formed by prior hourly VWAP breaks.
The chart below explains how to define a true range break using CANDLE to CANDLE VWAP, or PRICE DISCOVERY VWAP, PD VWAP for short.
Each candle has its own VWAP signature, this can allow us to read into that chop and designate where the dominate highest price discovery (PD for short in the context of candle to candle VWAP) can be observed. As the chart shows price action did break above the hourly VWAP and set the BAR, but notice it did not break an earlier PD VWAP prior to breaking the hourly VWAP nor did it showcase a PD VWAP break following the hourly break, and then as it dipped back below the hourly and the rallied again it still was met with an absense of committed buyers indicated by a lower PD VWAP signature.
Automated VWAP Support and Resistance
The following tools are designed to provide Fully Automated Multiple Periodicity VWAP Support and Resistance Levels, and highly targeted Event Driven VWAP signatures.
Combining all of the VWAP concepts into one study, this chart automatically defines market sentiment from the highest volume VWAP event over a selected time period, and maps out the most dominant algorithmically derived price discovery support and resistance levels defining with high probability where a market reactionary event will happen. Market reactionary events can be considered short and long term potentials where prices can rise or fall to related to profit taking events.
In the above Example, the high volume event on Aug, 5th 2024 defined all of the levels going forward, indicating where price action could expect a reactionary event to occour, and showcasing where price action observed support and resistance. Notice that these levels projected a target well above the July 10th 2024 All Time High, prior to price action ever being there before.
In addition to the support and resistance levels, the trending VWAP indicator also begins its aggregation from that same high volume event, allowing us to visualize where fair market value or price discovery can be observed from that primary event, defining who is in control of the stock, the BULLS or the BEARS. This indicator produces three signatures relative to the high volume event candle, a Vwap signature from the high of the candle, the price discovery or VWAP of the candle, and from the low of that candle, to produce what can be considered the VWAP SHUFFFLE RANGE. These upper and lower ranges above and below the VWAP siganture help visualize whether or not support or resistance is being maintained. these upper and lower bands help to quantify follow through when negotiating a VWAP break out or break down.
For added clarity, consider the price discovery or VWAP of each candle as defining where fair market value is on the fly, and then consider that each support or resitance level, and trending VWAP levels express where fair market value can be observed. Understanding the dynamics of both registrations, you can conclude that if the current price discovery for and given candle exceeds the dominance of any linear or trending price discovery level, we could conceed that the range is now being broken.
As shown in the example above, these tools can also be anchored to any specific candle in order to model out support and resistance, and VWAP trending sentiment. Note that the dominant support and resistance levels have recalibrated to reflect their new algorithmically derived price values.
Anchoring VWAP Pros and Cons
The Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) is a popular trading indicator that provides insight into the average price of a security, weighted by volume, over a specific period. Traders often "anchor" VWAP to a particular point in time (e.g., the start of the trading day, a specific session, or a custom period) to analyze price action relative to this benchmark. Deciding where to anchor VWAP involves trade-offs, and understanding the pros and cons can help optimize its use depending on your trading strategy.
Pros of Anchoring VWAP
Contextual Relevance
Pro: Anchoring VWAP to a specific point (e.g., the opening bell, a breakout, or a news event) aligns it with a meaningful reference point for your analysis or strategy.
Example: Anchoring to the start of the day provides a benchmark for institutional activity, as many funds use daily VWAP to evaluate execution quality.
Improved Trend Analysis
Pro: A custom anchor (e.g., the start of a trend or a key reversal) can highlight how price behaves relative to volume-weighted support or resistance over a specific period, offering clarity on momentum.
Example: Anchoring to a breakout point can help scalpers or swing traders assess whether the move is sustainable.
Flexibility for Short-Term Trading
Pro: Anchoring VWAP to a shorter timeframe (e.g., the start of an hour or a trading session) allows day traders to focus on intraday dynamics without noise from prior periods.
Example: A trader might anchor VWAP to the start of a high-volume period to scalp around intraday mean reversion.
Customization to Strategy
Pro: Anchoring VWAP to a point that matches your trading horizon (daily, weekly, or event-driven) makes it more actionable for your specific goals.
Example: A swing trader might anchor VWAP to the start of the week to capture multi-day trends.
Cons of Anchoring VWAP
Loss of Broader Context
Con: Anchoring to a narrow or arbitrary point ignores price and volume data outside that window, potentially missing the bigger picture.
Example: Anchoring to a single hour might overlook how the stock has traded over the full day, reducing VWAP’s reliability as a benchmark.
Subjectivity and Bias
Con: Choosing an anchor point introduces subjectivity, which can lead to overfitting or cherry-picking data to confirm a bias rather than reflecting true market behavior.
Example: Anchoring to a low-volume period might distort VWAP, making it less representative of institutional activity.
Reduced Consistency
Con: Frequently changing the anchor point can make it harder to compare VWAP across different periods or securities, reducing its usefulness as a standardized tool.
Example: If you anchor VWAP to random events daily, it becomes difficult to develop a consistent trading system.
Sensitivity to Volatility
Con: Anchoring VWAP to a volatile period (e.g., a gap or news spike) can skew the indicator, making it less reliable for mean-reversion strategies.
Example: Anchoring to the open during a massive gap might result in a VWAP level far from subsequent price action, rendering it irrelevant.
Key Considerations for Anchoring VWAP
Timeframe Alignment: Day traders often anchor to the session open (e.g., 9:30 AM EST for US markets), while longer-term traders might use weekly or monthly starts. The choice depends on your holding period.
Volume Patterns: Anchoring to a high-volume period (e.g., market open or close) typically makes VWAP more robust, as it reflects greater market participation.
Market Conditions: In trending markets, anchoring to the trend’s origin can highlight momentum, while in range-bound markets, a session-based anchor might better capture mean reversion.
Conclusion
Anchoring VWAP offers customization and precision but sacrifices universality and simplicity. The "best" anchor depends on your goals: daily VWAP anchored at the open is standard for institutional benchmarking, while custom anchors suit tactical or niche strategies. The trade-off is between tailoring the indicator to your needs and maintaining its objectivity as a market-wide reference. Experimentation and backtesting with your specific asset and timeframe can help determine the optimal approach.
VWAP=∑(Price×Volume)/∑(Volume)
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